Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 0.004037 0.004525 0.005073 0.005739 0.006536 0.007465 0.008646
2026-01-11 0.003328 0.003942 0.004690 0.005686 0.007006 0.008738 0.011261
2026-01-18 0.002933 0.003605 0.004469 0.005696 0.007454 0.009983 0.014121
2026-01-25 0.002610 0.003293 0.004207 0.005570 0.007642 0.010856 0.016663
2026-02-01 0.002331 0.002998 0.003920 0.005344 0.007614 0.011358 0.018724
2026-02-08 0.002106 0.002752 0.003665 0.005120 0.007534 0.011733 0.020662
2026-02-15 0.001994 0.002651 0.003607 0.005183 0.007924 0.013009 0.024938
2026-02-22 0.001859 0.002506 0.003463 0.005087 0.008016 0.013739 0.028333
2026-03-01 0.001733 0.002361 0.003307 0.004947 0.008001 0.014246 0.031429
2026-03-08 0.001630 0.002242 0.003181 0.004842 0.008032 0.014857 0.035164
2026-03-15 0.001585 0.002210 0.003188 0.004970 0.008536 0.016666 0.043840
2026-03-22 0.001549 0.002187 0.003208 0.005122 0.009119 0.018859 0.055949
2026-03-29 0.001487 0.002125 0.003166 0.005169 0.009525 0.020871 0.070495
2026-04-05 0.001415 0.002043 0.003082 0.005129 0.009739 0.022474 0.086045
2026-04-12 0.001358 0.001980 0.003027 0.005138 0.010072 0.024604 0.109292
2026-04-19 0.001289 0.001892 0.002920 0.005029 0.010091 0.025741 0.129141
2026-04-26 0.001213 0.001790 0.002779 0.004833 0.009854 0.025905 0.142195
2026-05-03 0.001143 0.001694 0.002645 0.004638 0.009589 0.025895 0.154544
2026-05-10 0.001113 0.001663 0.002628 0.004693 0.010008 0.028735 0.210775
2026-05-17 0.001067 0.001603 0.002551 0.004609 0.010027 0.029977 0.255310
2026-05-24 0.001019 0.001538 0.002462 0.004487 0.009916 0.030627 0.296755
2026-05-31 0.000979 0.001483 0.002389 0.004396 0.009882 0.031643 0.357523
2026-06-07 0.000964 0.001474 0.002403 0.004507 0.010485 0.036201 0.587878